UFC Vegas 76 Picks - Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson Prediction

Grant Dawson vs Damir Ismagulov

UFC: Saturday, July 1st at 7:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: -- Grant Dawson -115 / Damir Ismagulov -105 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson face off on Saturday in a lightweight showdown in the co-main event of UFC Vegas 76 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. 

Damir Ismagulov vs Grant Dawson Odds

Grant Dawson is the slight favorite sitting at -115 while Dasmir Ismagulov is the slight underdog sitting at -105. The total rounds sits at 2.5 goals with the over paying out at -220. 

Damir Ismagulov Betting Preview

Damir Ismagulov comes into this fight with a 24-2 record overall and he had won five in a row in the UFC before he lost his last fight. Ismagulov faced off against Arman Tsarukyan in December of 2022 and he lost by unanimous decision. He outstruck his opponent 36-34 but was taken down seven times and that led to the loss. Ismagulov is averaging 3.78 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.51 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 1.17 submission attempts every 15 minutes and is successful on 28 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 75 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. In this fight Ismagulov is going to need to stop Dawson’s takedown attempts and really put the pressure on him. 

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Grant Dawson Betting Preview

Grant Dawson comes into this fight with a 19-1-1 record overall and since coming into the UFC he has won eight of nine fights. In November of 2022, Dawon faced off against Mark Madsen and it was in the third round that he was able to win by rear naked choke. Dawson had outstruck Madsen 33-15 and he also had two takedowns. Dawson is averaging 3.12 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.41 significant strikes per minute. Dawson wants to get the fight to the ground and he is averaging 3.8 takedowns every 15 minutes. He is successful on 34 percent of his takedown attempts and also stops 40 percent of his opponents takedown attempts. Dawon is also good with the submissions and is averaging 1.6 submission attempts every 15 minutes. 

Shane’s Free Pick

Ismagulov retired in the last fight and I have some concerns about if he is even motivated for this fight. Dawson is going to get the fight to the ground, and that’s where he is going to be able to find success. Dawson is going to avoid the knockout on the feet, and he will grind his way to the victory. Back Dawson the money line. 

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