NFL Dolphins vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay picks at +545 odds

There are a lot of different storylines happening in this Game. Tyreek Hill’s return to Kansas City, Tua Tagovailoa can’t play in the cold, or the Chiefs dynasty is slowly crumbling – take your pick. However, one thing you should know about this Game is that it will be absolutely freezing. The forecast has Kansas City around 0 degrees Saturday night, but with 15-30 MPH wind, it is expected to feel like -30 degrees. Let’s get into my 5/1 Same Game Parlay that I made at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tua Tagovailoa Under 237.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Patrick Mahomes Under 252.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Under 35.5 (+285)

Same Game Parlay odds: +545

Tua Tagovailoa Under 237.5 Passing Yards (-114)

There’s a stereotype going around that Tua Tagovailoa can’t perform in the cold weather. Well, it’s sort of true. Tagovailoa has struggled in the cold weather in his short NFL career, and his stats back it up. In fact, the Dolphins have lost their last 10 straight games when the kickoff temperature is below 40 degrees. Saturday’s game will be well below that mark as the forecast has Kansas City projected to be around 0 degrees at kickoff. However, the wind will be howling at Arrowhead, and it is expected to feel like -30 degrees. Whether it’s Tagovailoa or a different quarterback, it will be difficult to throw the ball if they can’t feel their hands. Plus, Tagovailoa has gone under this number in 3 of Miami’s last 4 games. I’m expecting both teams to keep the ball on the ground a lot since that appears to be the best way to win this frigid game.

Check out Saturday’s Wild Card player prop picks

Patrick Mahomes Under 252.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Most of the reasons for the pick above apply to this pick as well. Patrick Mahomes is far more used to the cold weather since he’s played in Kansas City his entire career, but still, a “feels like” temperature around -20 is completely different than any Game he’s ever played in. Plus, the Kansas City offense is a lot less dynamic than Miami’s. If the Fins can limit Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice, Mahomes will have to rely on Justin Watson, Noah Gray, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling – that’s not ideal for a playoff Game. That means Isiah Pacheco will get plenty of touches on the ground. Even without the cold weather, Mahomes has stayed below this line in 7 of Kansas City’s last 9 Games. 

Under 35.5 (+285)

If you can’t tell already, the theme of this Game is cold weather. Below-freezing temperatures usually affect Games, but the wind chill should completely change how this Game will be played. Winds ranging from 15-30 MPH will be howling throughout the Game and that will make it hard to pass in. Also, Kansas City receivers have been struggling with drops this season since they led the league in dropped passes in the regular season. I don’t care how many hand warmers the receivers use – the cold weather will still be a problem for their hands. If both teams rely on the run Game, I don’t see how this Game gets to 30 points.

Check out our Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs predictions

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Drivers reveal contrasting views on F1 four-week break

Image
Several F1 drivers have given contrasting views on the current four-week break between races. Following the cancellation of the Chinese Grand Prix – originally scheduled for 16 April – Formula 1 opted not to replace the event, meaning that a gap opened up between the races in Australia and Azerbaijan. Charles Leclerc is amongst those to welcome the opportunity for the team to put some extra work in, given Ferrari's difficult start to the 2023 season. "I think in the situation we are in as a team, we take this as an opportunity to work as much as possible during this break in order to get upgrades as quickly as possible and be as com Pet itive as we want the sooner in this season," Leclerc told media, including TheFOXposts.Com . "It's still a very, very long season, we've only done two races. So, we are fully motivated to get back on top. And we'll try to use these weeks in the best way possible." Mixed feelings for some Fo...
Read more

Super League chief claims 20 clubs have agreed to join project

The co-founder of A22 Sports Management, the group behind the Super League project , has claimed that 20 clubs have already given their approval to joining the new com Pet ition if it ever gets off the ground. Despite widespread criticism from fans across the globe, A22 continue to try and bring the Super League to life and found renewed hope last month when a court ruled that neither FIFA nor UEFA had the power to punish any teams who wished to take part - one of the most severe deterrents from the initial storm back in April 2021. With that knowledge in the back pocket, A22 chief Anas Laghrari revealed talks have been held with over 50 clubs about joining the Super League and claimed they have received enough support to actually get the project underway. "I don't want to say their names because I don't want to expose them," Laghrari told Ouest France . "Since December 21, we have spoken with around 50 different clubs. About 20 of them are very, very motiva...
Read more